United States
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The Fed’s “Chicken Run”: Why Sticking with High Rates Will Crash the Economy
Jun 24, 2024
In persisting with its high rates policy, the Fed is acting like James Dean in the famous “chicken run” auto race in Rebel Without a Cause.
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Working Paper
Trump versus Biden: The Macroeconomics of the Second Coming
May 2024
The current paper returns to the key questions of wages and incomes and how wealth effects cripple reliance on interest rates to control inflation.
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Working Paper
Considering Returns on Federal Investment in the Negotiated “Maximum Fair Price” of Drugs Under the Inflation Reduction Act: an Analysis
Mar 2024
The empirical analysis of public sector investments and the health value created by the drugs selected for Medicare price negotiations provides a cost basis for the assessment of the maximum fair price.
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Working Paper
Mapping Fragility – Functions of Wealth and Social Classes in US Household Finance
Jan 2024
Examining the crucial role of poverty and inequality in shaping household indebtedness.
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Working Paper
Monopsony in Professional Labor Markets: Hospital System Concentration and Nurse Wages
Jan 2023
Increased hospital system consolidation in small Metropolitan Statistical Areas is adversely related to nurse wage growth.
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Meet the Grinch Stealing the Future of Gen Y And Z
Dec 20, 2022
Salaries in the U.S. aren’t keeping up with inflation, despite pandemic-related increases in some sectors. That’s a major threat to the future for all working Americans – especially the youngest.
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Bankman-Fried, Political Money, and the Crash of FTX
Dec 15, 2022
How Showering Money on Both Parties Paralyzed Regulators
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Working Paper
Why Economists Should Support Populist Antitrust Goals
Dec 2022
The Consumer Welfare Standard is severely limited or defective, preventing it from being an appropriate standard for modern antitrust.
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Top Economist: America’s Racist Economy Getting Worse, Not Better
Mar 8, 2022
Lynn Parramore explores Peter Temin’s new book on the country’s two economic histories: progress for whites, slavery and segregation for Black people. He warns of a second-tier global future unless they come together.
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Where Did You Go, Vice President Joe?
Mar 4, 2022
President Biden’s first SOTU Address was a missed opportunity to say what he knows to be true: Stock buybacks manipulate the market and leave most Americans worse off
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Beyond Price Caps: A Regulatory Framework for Pricing of Medicine Innovation
Feb 3, 2022
US regulators can step in to ensure drug pricing both supports patient access and drug development
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Working Paper Series
Pricing for Medicine Innovation: A Regulatory Approach to Support Drug Development and Patient Access
Feb 2022
US regulators can step in to ensure drug pricing both supports patient access and drug development
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Does America Want a CHIPS for Buybacks Act?
Oct 4, 2021
To strengthen the American semiconductor industry, Congress should condition additional funds on suspending stock buybacks
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Working Paper Series
Why the CHIPS Are Down: Stock Buybacks and Subsidies in the U.S. Semiconductor Industry
Oct 2021
To strengthen the American semiconductor industry, Congress should condition additional funds on suspending stock buybacks
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Why Aren’t Libertarians Protesting the Freedom-Busting Texas Abortion Law?
Sep 8, 2021
On deregulation and Covid masks, libertarians are loud. On female liberty, deafening silence.
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China and the Supply Chain: A Comment on the June 2021 White House Review
Jun 23, 2021
Contrary to rhetoric from Democrats and Republicans, the U.S. has an economic interest in trade and peace with China
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The State Has Failed to Protect Black Wealth in Tulsa and Across America
Jun 17, 2021
Economist Darrick Hamilton, co-author of a new report on wealth across racial and ethnic groups in Tulsa, Oklahoma, explores the legacy of the Tulsa Race Massacre with the Institute for New Economic Thinking’s Lynn Parramore.
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How the U.S. Lost National Healthcare
Jun 15, 2021
An excerpt from the just released book, The Outlier, by Kai Bird
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Working Paper Series
Mass Incarceration Retards Racial Integration
Apr 2021
Formerly incarcerated Black people emerge from prison with far less education and social skills than white ex-cons. And they have great trouble forming families or earning a good living.
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How NAFTA Lost Democrats the South
Sep 15, 2020
For thirty years after the Civil Rights Act, a sizable share of white Southerners still voted Democrat. That changed when the party embraced trade deals that hurt American workers.
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Working Paper Series
Voting Rights, Deindustrialization, and Republican Ascendancy in the South
Sep 2020
How NAFTA led to GOP dominance of the American South
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Working Paper Series
Government as the First Investor in Biopharmaceutical Innovation: Evidence From New Drug Approvals 2010–2019
Sep 2020
Amid debates over costs—and profits—from a coronavirus vaccine, a new study shows that taxpayers have been footing the bill for every new drug approved between 2010 and 2019
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Working Paper
Germany and China Have Savings Gluts, the USA Is a Sump: So What?
Aug 2020
An alternative look at the “global savings glut”
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Working Paper
How “Maximizing Shareholder Value” Minimized the Strategic National Stockpile: The $5.3 Trillion Question for Pandemic Preparedness Raised by the Ventilator Fiasco
Jul 2020
The success of projects for pandemic preparedness and response depends on the strength of government-business collaborations.
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Working Paper
Never Together: Black and White People in the Postwar Economic Era
Jul 2020
Over and over again, US government policies designed to transfer and create wealth and economic opportunity were restricted to whites by design.
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The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly About the Fed’s New Credit Allocation Policy
Jun 30, 2020
The Fed is taking an aggressive approach to put out the economic fires of the pandemic. But it needs to allow for flexibility as some business models irreparably change.
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Working Paper
The Geography of New Technologies
Jun 2020
Rising inequality has focused attention on the benefits of new technologies. Do these accrue primarily to inventors, early investors, and highly skilled users, or to society more widely as their adoption generates employment growth?
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How the Disappearance of Unionized Jobs Obliterated an Emergent Black Middle Class
Jun 15, 2020
Since the 1980s, the enemy of equal employment opportunity through upward socioeconomic mobility has been the pervasive and entrenched corporate-governance ideology and practice of maximizing shareholder value.
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Working Paper Series
How the Disappearance of Unionized Jobs Obliterated an Emergent Black Middle Class
Jun 2020
In this introduction to our project, “Fifty Years After: Black Employment in the United States Under the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission,” we outline the socioeconomic forces behind the promising rise and disastrous fall of an African American blue-collar middle class.
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Modigliani Meets Minsky: Inequality and U.S. Household Debt Since 1950
May 7, 2020
A look at the American household debt boom
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Working Paper Series
Modigliani Meets Minsky: Inequality, Debt, and Financial Fragility in America, 1950-2016
May 2020
Increased borrowing by middle-class families with low income growth played a central role in rising indebtedness
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Working Paper Series
How Much Can the U.S. Congress Resist Political Money? A Quantitative Assessment
Apr 2020
The links between campaign contributions from the financial sector and switches to a pro-bank vote were direct and substantial
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The COVID-19 Recession: Unprecedented Collapse and the Need for Macro Policy
Mar 26, 2020
Effective and quick federal policy response is critical to create conditions for a quick recovery.
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Inclusive American Economic History
Jan 17, 2020
Containing Slaves, Freedmen, Jim Crow laws and the Great Migration
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Working Paper Series
Inclusive American Economic History: Containing Slaves, Freedmen, Jim Crow Laws, and the Great Migration
Jan 2020
This paper records the path by which African Americans were transformed from enslaved persons in the American economy to partial participants in the progress of the economy.
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The 2020 Election in Three Graphs
Jan 10, 2020
The Irresistible Force Meets the Immovable Object?
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Repo Madness: Fed Plumbing Gone Awry
Nov 26, 2019
Repeat after me: How much pipe should Fed plumbers lay if Fed plumbers like to lay pipe?
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Working Paper Series
The Decline of the U.S. Labor Share Across Sectors
Nov 2019
This paper provides novel insights on the changing functional distribution of income in the post–war US economy.
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How Liberals Normalized Conservative Ideas
Aug 28, 2019
The New York Times’ Binyamin Appelbaum explains the role Democratic presidents, from Kennedy to Obama, in moving economic policy to the right
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Puerto Rico’s Crisis Began Before Hurricane Maria
Jul 17, 2019
Economist Marie Mora discusses the deep economic crisis that has afflicted Puerto Rico for years
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Antitrust and the Consumer Welfare Standard
Jul 16, 2019
The Chicago School has long used bankrupt assumptions to strangle antitrust policy
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Working Paper Series
American Gothic: How Chicago Economics Distorts “Consumer Welfare” in Antitrust
Jul 2019
The Chicago School has long used bankrupt assumptions to strangle antitrust policy.
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Charter Schools Unleashed “Educational Hunger Games” in California. Now It’s Fighting Back.
Jul 2, 2019
Andrea Gabor, author of “After the Education Wars,” discusses how California is pushing back on millionaire-driven charter schools. Will the rest of the America follow?
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How Media Workers are Organizing in the Dual Economy
Jun 27, 2019
With journalism moving from a stable to a precarious profession, digital media workers have become some of the most organized in the startup world
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Place-Based Economic Conditions and the Geography of the Opioid Overdose Crisis
Jun 20, 2019
There is not one opioid crisis in America—there are many. And supply-focused measures won’t stop them.
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What Lehman Brothers Tells Us About American Capitalism
Jun 11, 2019
Ben Power, who adapted the play “The Lehman Trilogy,” talks about the eponymous family’s role in the creation and destruction of American wealth
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INET at the Trento Economics Festival
May 30, 2019
A collection of our research on populism, globalization and nationalism
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Antitrust in American History: Law, Institutions, and Economic Performance
May 2, 2019
The Chicago School’s weakening of antitrust law hurt the economy
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Working Paper Series
Antitrust and Economic History: The Historic Failure of the Chicago School of Antitrust
May 2019
This paper presents an historical analysis of the antitrust laws.
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Working Paper Series
Economic Consequences of the U.S. Convict Labor System
Mar 2019
Prisoners employed in manufacturing constitute 4.2% of total U.S. manufacturing employment in 2005; they produce cheap goods, creating labor demand shock.
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The Black Woman Economist Who Pioneered a Federal Jobs Guarantee
Feb 22, 2019
Decades before it caught on with other economists, Sadie Alexander was the first economist to recommend a government jobs guarantee in the US
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Opioid Crisis Shows How Economic Inequality Kills
Feb 20, 2019
Pharmaceutical pushers like Purdue “couldn’t have done their dirty work” without America’s increasingly unbalanced economy
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When the Middle Class Lost Its Wealth
Nov 15, 2018
Until 2008, rising home values gave the middle class a cushion amid growing income inequality. But following the financial crisis, that wealth has failed to return.
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Money and the Unflappable Economist
Jun 25, 2018
The Koch brothers scandal at George Mason University
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How Bill Cosby, Obama and Mega-preachers Sold Economic Snake Oil to Black America
May 2, 2018
It’s time to connect political violence with economic violence.
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Working Paper Series
Industrial Structure and Party Competition in an Age of Hunger Games: Donald Trump and the 2016 Presidential Election
Jan 2018
The U.S. presidential election of 2016 featured frontal challenges to the political establishments of both parties and perhaps the most shocking election upset in American history.
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INET Grantee Lazonick’s Research Shapes DC Share Buyback Debate
Dec 22, 2017
Sen. Tammy Baldwin features arguments in questions to SEC nominees, pharmaceutical industry witness
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China vs. the Washington Consensus
Nov 13, 2017
The 2008 financial crisis was a shock to faith in entirely free financial markets. But the neoliberal assumptions underlying the previously dominant “Washington Consensus” continue to inform much Western commentary on China’s economy.
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Conference paper
A Burning Debt. The Influence of Household Debt on Investment, Production and Growth in US.
Oct 2017
This paper discusses household debt as a long term phenomenon that influences economies beyond crises.1 In other words, rather than look at how household indebtedness can lead to crises, I will focus on its surprising persistence at very high levels, and its interactions along the way with other key variables, such as public policies and spending. The first section describes some stylized facts and the final section explores the macroeconomic consequences.
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Mexico, NAFTA, and the Future of the North American Economy
May 30, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion featuring Kenneth Smith, Head of the Trade and NAFTA Office of the Ministry of the Economy of Mexico, and Jay Pelosky, Principal of Pelosky Global Strategies.
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Inequality, Globalization, and Macroeconomics
ConferenceUSC Dornsife INET presents a conference on inequality, globalization, and macroeconomics
Apr 28–29, 2017
April 28-29, 2017, USC Dornsife INET is hosting a conference on inequality, globalization, and macroeconomics at the University of Southern California. The goal of this conference is to bring together leading researchers to discuss and present new approaches and new results on the relationships between inequality and macroeconomics and between inequality and globalization. Please direct any questions or comments to [email protected].
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The Outskirts of Hope: Poverty in America
Apr 4, 2017
The “War on Poverty,” and the impact of public policy
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A Public Comment on the SEC Pay Ratio Disclosure Rule
Mar 29, 2017
In this comment, we explain our objections to the SEC’s current formulation of the Pay Ratio Disclosure Rule on each of three grounds: the erroneous estimation of CEO pay; the unclear specification of the “median” worker; and the risk of normalizing a pay ratio that is far too high. Then we present the latest data on the remuneration of the 500 highest-paid CEOs in the United States, demonstrating the way in which the SEC’s measure of CEO pay that enters into the CEO-to-median-worker pay ratio tends to systematically underestimate actual executive pay.
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China’s Weapons of Trade War
Feb 25, 2017
A trade war would undoubtedly hurt both sides. But there is reason to believe that the US has more to lose. If nothing else, the Chinese seem to know precisely which weapons they have available to them. China could stop purchasing US aircraft, impose an embargo.
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Race Has a Regional Dimension in America’s Political Economy
Feb 20, 2017
Stanford economic historian Professor Gavin Wright, addressing the Institute’s conference on the economics of race, argues that the conditions facing the children of the great migration from the South are very different to the conditions for the children of those who stayed behind.
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Why Greenspan Knew, But Didn’t Act
Feb 8, 2017
Mallaby’s research shows that Greenspan knew more about the looming perils than people realize.
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‘Otherness’ is More Complex Than Black and White
Feb 3, 2017
Professor Tchen explores the many layers of “otherness” at work in America’s political economy
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What the ‘Dual Economy’ Model Reveals About Today’s America
Jan 30, 2017
Professor Temin sees the US economy as bifurcated along lines analogous to the situation described in developing world economies by W. Arthur Lewis.
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Trumping Capitalism?
Jan 24, 2017
Donald Trump’s presidency is a symptom of an interregnum between economic orders – a period that will result in a new balance between state and market. While his administration’s economic policies are unlikely to provide the right answer, they may at least show the world what not to do.
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Older workers in Rust-Belt States have been economic losers since Reagan
Dec 6, 2016
Slight increases in national-average earnings for older workers mask long-run stagnation and decline in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – states that unexpectedly voted for Donal Trump
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Working Paper Series
The Equal Employment Opportunity Omission
Dec 2016
On June 2, 1965, under a mandate established by Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the U.S. Congress created the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) to enforce federal anti-discrimination laws related to employment. The expectation was that African Americans would be prime beneficiaries of the EEOC.
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Exploring the Economics of Race
Nov 30, 2016
Columbia professor Dan O’Flaherty explains how an awareness of racial trauma developed from growing up in Newark inspired him to write and teach on the economics of race.
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Tomorrow’s Detroits & Detroit’s Tomorrows
ConferenceRace & Economics
Nov 11–12, 2016
Economics has a race problem.
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Did the farm credit system change Americans’ thinking about credit?
Nov 7, 2016
Hoping to learn from other countries’ experiences in organizing finance for agriculture, more than 150 Americans were sent abroad in the summer of 1913 to investigate the minutiae of farm-credit systems in and around Europe.
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Lazonick links stock buybacks to America’s jobs challenge
Nov 4, 2016
In an Al Jazeera documentary “In Search of the Great American Job”, Institute scholar William Lazonick offers some arch insights into the relationship between financialization — particularly the “shareholder value” ideology in corporations, which drives the transfer of profits to shareholders through stock buybacks — and job creation and inequality.
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‘Stratification’ Theory Tackles the Racial Blindspots of Orthodox Economics
Nov 2, 2016
Economist Darrick Hamilton and Institute President Rob Johnson discuss “stratification economics”, which addresses the failure of orthodox economics to see, explain and point to remedies for persistent racial inequality.
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Cook: Race-blind economics distorts data
Oct 27, 2016
Scholar sees Institute for New Economic Thinking conference as an important opportunity to discuss issues of race and economics, and of Detroit’s past and future
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What Caused Detroit’s Demise?
Oct 26, 2016
Historian Prof. Thomas Sugrue offers a critique of the conventional wisdom that roots the city’s fate in the racial tension of the tumultuous ‘60s and the decline of the auto industry.
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The War on Crime, not crime itself, fueled Detroit’s post-1967 decline
Oct 24, 2016
In this Q-and-A, historian and National Book Award finalist Heather Ann Thompson argues that draconian police tactics in black Detroit neighborhoods had as much to do with the city’s decimation as white flight and lost jobs.
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Sex Uncensored
Oct 21, 2016
Improvements in data collection create potential for better outcomes for the LGBT community.
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Clinton Likely to Win, But Struggle in 2020 Unless She Changes Course
Oct 20, 2016
Institute for New Economic Thinking President Robert Johnson, in an appearance of the CNN International show Quest Means Business, warns that the anger of Trump’s supporters is unlikely to ebb absent significant economic and political changes — and that this anger could be more successfully marshaled by a more skilled and sophisticated Republican challenger four years from now.
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Why Can’t Economics See Race?
Oct 19, 2016
Theoretical dogmas that are literally blind to the causes of the racism that determines the economic fates of most African-Americans leaves the economics profession unable to comprehend or recognize remedies for a key driver of America’s crippling inequality. Instead, conventional economic models unmindfully shape policies that actually exacerbate racial conflict.
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Who Picked the Pockets of America’s Households?
Aug 24, 2016
The 2008 financial meltdown wiped out what was left of the savings of millions of American families, but Professor Edward Wolff says decades of income inequality had set the stage for the collapse of their household wealth.
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The link between health spending and life expectancy: The US is an outlier
Aug 18, 2016
The US stands out as an outlier: the US spends far more on health than any other country, yet the life expectancy of the American population is not longer but actually shorter than in other countries that spend far less.
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Stark New Evidence on How Money Shapes America’s Elections
Aug 8, 2016
Oversights of two generations of social scientists have weakened democracy.
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A New Economic Paradigm to Fight Populism
Jun 15, 2016
Globalisation was once considered a doctrine of salvation - but it has produced too many losers and created a breeding ground for heralds of simplistic truths. It is high time for a new doctrine.
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There Is a Way to Stop Machines From Making Americans Poorer
Jun 8, 2016
Technology will ruin America if we don’t compensate for its impact, warns Andy Stern.
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When Economists Attack
Apr 20, 2016
How Gerald Friedman’s assessment of Bernie Sanders economic proposals prompted a rare public political spat among economists.
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Different Models, Different Politics
Mar 9, 2016
Gerald Friedman responds to the Romers on the Sanders Plan.
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Economic Forecasting Models & Sanders Program Controversy
Feb 26, 2016
The Romer/Romer letter to Professor Gerald Friedman marks a turning point. It concedes that there are indeed important issues at stake when evaluating the proposed economic policies of Presidential Candidate Bernie Sanders. These issues go beyond the political debate and should be discussed seriously between and among professional economists.
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Professional Expertise or Politics Driving Economists’ View of Hillary and Bernie?
Feb 9, 2016
Bullet-point financial reform proposals are either too simple or too vague.
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Let Them Drink Pollution?
Jan 26, 2016
The tragic crisis in Flint, Michigan, where residents have been poisoned by lead contamination, is not just about drinking water. And it’s not just about Flint. It’s about race and class, and the stark contradiction between the American dream of equal rights and opportunity for all and the American nightmare of metastasizing inequality of wealth and power.
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Years granted:
2014, 2015, 2016
Will Household Wealth (Ever) Recover?
This research project focuses mainly on whether the wealth of the United States middle class recovered and whether wealth inequality continued to rise or moderated over the years 2010 to 2013 following the financial crisis of 2008.
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U.S. Corporations Don’t Need Tax Breaks on Foreign Profits
Dec 21, 2015
Many Americans have expressed outrage over Pfizer’s plan, through its merger with Allergan, to move its tax home from the United States to Ireland. Now, in a New York Times op-ed, Carl Icahn, the billionaire corporate raider turned hedge fund activist, has joined the chorus. He labels the Pfizer-Allergan deal a “travesty,” blaming the U.S.’s “uncompetitive international tax system.”
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Economics in the Rear-View Mirror
Aug 6, 2015
Archival artifacts from the history of economics.
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An Interview With Sarah Bloom Raskin
May 5, 2015 | 12:00—12:30
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Finance & Society
May 4, 2015 | 02:30—05:30
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Years granted:
2014, 2015
The Rise of Federal Credit Programs in the United States
This research project investigates the rise of federal credit programs in the United States, leading to a better understanding of the development of federal credit programs.
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Years granted:
2013, 2014, 2015
Economic Inequality and Sustainable Transportation Policy
This research project examines how the spatial pattern of inequality in US cities shapes the provision of public transit and more broadly the prospects for a more equitable and sustainable transportation policy.
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Years granted:
2014, 2015
Inequalities by Race and Gender in the Earnings of Women of Color
This research project investigates how gender and race affect the earnings of African American, Latina, and Asian American women in the United States over five decades, from 1970 to 2010.