Macroeconomics
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Profit-Led Inflation Redefined: Response to Nikiforos and Grothe
Jun 6, 2023
Besides changes in institutions and social norms, other phenomena could explain a rise in the profit share.
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Markups, Profit Shares, and Cost-Push-Profit-Led Inflation
Jun 6, 2023
To what extent is profit-led inflation compatible with what we know about the price-setting behavior of firms and income distribution?
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Merger Tests in Practice: A Critical Analysis
May 8, 2023
Current tests for mergers are in practice deeply flawed.
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Working Paper
The Perils of Antitrust Econometrics: Unrealistic Engel Curves, Inadequate Data, and Aggregation Bias
May 2023
Antitrust econometrics relies on often-implausible assumptions
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Emerging Markets and the Balance of Payments: Challenges to Growth and Sustainability
Mar 13, 2023
A model that captures key vulnerabilities and structural weaknesses of developing countries’ trade and production structures.
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Working Paper
Current External Challenges to the Economic Expansion of Emerging Markets
Mar 2023
A Balance-of-Payments Constrained Growth Perspective
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The Quasi-Inflation of 2021-2022: A Case of Bad Analysis and Worse Response
Feb 2, 2023
Why the conventional tools of the Phillips Curve, NAIRU, potential output, and money-supply growth are useless
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The Rise of the Global Dollar System
Jan 11, 2023
Why does the apparently prescient and correct “key currency” view remain an embattled minority view?
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Working Paper
Exorbitant Privilege? On the Rise (and Rise) of the Global Dollar System
Jan 2023
Things are going to break and central banks are going to have to respond, but the mental frame that most people will be using is not well suited for understanding how the world now works
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Time Bomb in Global Finance
Jan 4, 2023
A Bank for International Settlements study says 60+ trillion dollars of off-the-books currency swaps could be a profound, systematic risk. Robert Johnson joins Paul Jay on theAnalysis.news.
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The Great Inflation Debate: Supply Shocks and Wealth Effects in a Multipolar World Economy
Jan 3, 2023
Setting the record straight and identifying less destructive pathways forward than round after round of interest rate increases.
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Working Paper
Myth and Reality in the Great Inflation Debate: Supply Shocks and Wealth Effects in a Multipolar World Economy
Jan 2023
A critical reappraisal of the case in favor of monetary tightening pressed by inflation hawks is overdue.
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Working Paper
Why Economists Should Support Populist Antitrust Goals
Dec 2022
The Consumer Welfare Standard is severely limited or defective, preventing it from being an appropriate standard for modern antitrust.
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Global Inflation Today: What Is to Be Done?
ConferencePERI Conference, featuring INET Research Director Thomas Ferguson and INET Grantees
Dec 2–Nov 3, 2022
Emerging out of the COVID lockdown, inflation in the U.S. and globally has risen to the highest levels in 40 years. On December 2-3, PERI will host a conference to explore the causes of this global inflation spike. Conference participants will also provide critical perspectives on the austerity macroeconomic policies being implemented globally to control inflation and will propose alternative policies capable of managing inflation without imposing austerity and rising mass unemployment.
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Working Paper
Muth’s Hypothesis Under Knightian Uncertainty
Dec 2022
A Novel Account of Inflation Forecasts